Summary

  • Forecast characters: Gran Alegria, Still in Love, blue Daiichi Ruby, bride North Flight, an awakened swimsuit Silence Suzuka as Runaway, Valentine Taiki Shuttle as Pace.
  • A pre-event survey, labeled as just-before: no debuff about 65%, one about 20%, two about 7%, a buffer about 7%. That is a forecast.
  • One player went 74 of 81 (91.3%) with two Pace Chasers and called it a pace event. Not a census. Guide targets disagree: one page 2100/1100/1700/1300/1600, another beginners 2000/900/1300/1200/1600 and advanced 2100/1100/1700/1500/1750.
  • A different player went 59 wins from 81 races. On that team Almond Eye's win rate was 45.7%, Oguri Cap had 31 second places, and Nice Nature was the debuffer. The final was 2nd, behind a Pace Chaser North Flight. A course page edited 2026-09-12 says the final-corner acceleration family fires at the earliest point on this mile. The course note on this card says it does not. Both are reads from before the meeting.

Guides: Two Pace + support, or back runners and a lid Front; balanced preview.

Running styles

Styles the guides favor: Pace ChaserLate SurgerEnd Closer

Use is the share of rival Umas that ran each style in Japan: how popular it was, not how often it won.

StyleVerdictUse in JapanNote
Front RunnerViablenot countedFrom guides Awakened swimsuit Suzuka is the Runaway name. Escapes were almost absent in one round-1 diary. Sample: no league-wide count
RunawayViablenot countedFrom guides The same Suzuka, if she is built to lead rather than to sit. Sample: no league-wide count
Pace ChaserBestnot countedFrom guides One 74/81 log with two Pace Chasers, and Valentine Taiki is the pace pick on the forecast pages. Not a census. Sample: no league-wide count
Late SurgerStrongnot countedFrom guides Gran Alegria and Still in Love are the forecast pair. One open diary saw them together on the strong teams. Sample: no league-wide count
End CloserViablenot countedFrom guides Present on the forecast. One diary said End Closers won less often than the room matches had suggested. Sample: no league-wide count

Expected room

Front Runners per room: no source counted them. Runaways per room: no source counted them. From guides

No source counted Front Runners in a full room of 9. The figures in the style table are one graded window or a pre-event Room Match sample, not a server census.

Umas

What Japan used and what the guides recommend, one card per outfit. A recommendation is a guide author's priority, not a chance of winning.

  • Gran Alegria1st outfitLate SurgerAceNot in Global yet

    In Japan: Forecast Late pair with Still. Not in the planner roster. From guides

  • Still in Love1st outfitLate SurgerCoreNot in Global yet

    In Japan: The other half of that pair. From guides

  • Taiki ShuttleValentine outfitPace ChaserAlternativeNot in Global yet

    In Japan: The pace pick. Not Bubblegum Memories. Not in the roster at this id. From guides

  • Taiki ShuttleバレンタインPace ChaserMain pick

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Early position and full kit

    • Not summer or original
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This outfit is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Oguri Capシングレ / Cinderella GrayPace ChaserMain pick

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Own mid-race and finish

    • Exact future variant
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This outfit is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Gran AlegriaoriginalLate SurgerMain pick

    Guides:Late Surger: Mile kit and acceleration

    • Skills and evolution available
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Still in LoveoriginalLate SurgerAlternative

    Guides:Late Surger: Own finish and acceleration

    • Make up for mile skills
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • North FlightドロワEnd CloserAlternative

    Guides:End Closer: End kit for mid-race and finish

    • Not bride or original Pace
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Silence SuzukaInnocent SilenceFront RunnerConditional

    Guides:Front Runner: Tokyo 1800 specialization

    • Awakening 7 not validated in Global
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    umamusumelabo.com

Stats and aptitudes

Target Speed Stamina Power Guts Wit
Recommended21001100170013001600
Minimum2000900130012001600

Without one: 1000.

Aptitudes: Mile. Speed course correction. Debuffs are legal, so stamina should be at least 1000.

From guides Recommended is one page's provisional line. Minimum is a beginner line from another page. An advanced line on that second page is 2100/1100/1700/1500/1750. They disagree. None is a winner average.

Check your own build in the HP Calculator before training: these targets come from Japanese guides.

Skills

Inherited uniques 2

Green skills 6

  • Left-Handed ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Speed).
  • Tokyo Racecourse ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Stamina).
  • Non-Standard Distance ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Stamina).
  • Firm Conditions ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Power).
  • Fall Runner ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Speed).
  • Sunny Days ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Guts).

Debuffs 1

  • DominatorPace ChaserLate SurgerLegal. The just-before survey had one debuffer at about 20% and two at about 7%.

Team compositions

  • Gran Alegria (Late Surger) + Still in Love (Late Surger) + Valentine Taiki Shuttle (Pace Chaser)

    From guides The forecast names. One strong personal log was two Pace Chasers instead, at 74 of 81.

  • 1 × Pace Chaser + 2 × Late Surger

    From guides The forecast names. One strong personal log was two Pace Chasers instead, at 74 of 81.

Debuffers

Depends on the room Legal, and the just-before survey mostly had none. Treat that 65/20/7/7 split as a forecast, not a result.

Support decks

Decks published by guides for this CM in Japan. Some cards may not be in Global yet; the planner checks which ones you can use.

Deck shapes

  • 3 Speed / 1 Stamina / 1 Wit / 1 Pal · Pace Chaser · JP · Restaurant · umamusumelabo.com
  • 2 Speed / 1 Power / 1 Guts / 1 Wit / 1 Pal · Pace Chaser · JP · Restaurant · umamusumelabo.com

What may differ in Global

  • End date not confirmed.
  • The 74/81 line is one player.
  • The final-corner gold does not fire. The late phase starts inside the corner and the straight is 75 m later.

Gaps in the data

  • 26CLASSIC3 is the slug that was opened for this mile. If that slug is a different classic, the course facts above still come from the 12 Sep 2026 edit of the Tokyo 1800 page.
  • Who won: low confidence.
  • The course link already stored for this mile opens the Longchamp page. The mile page, edited 2026-09-12, says the final-corner family fires early. The course note on this card says it does not. Neither line is a result.

Sources and credits

This guide is our own summary, in our words, of the research below; the findings belong to their authors. Follow the links to read them in full.

Guides cited